Research Brief·Area·September 2026
Al Khairan First
Overall confidence: Declarative·Published 10 October 2026
Headline Insight
Single-developer dominance
Market Snapshot
Transactions
298
Total value
AED 837.81M
Median PPSF
AED 2,584
Off-plan share
100.0%
Mortgage share
1.0%
What changed since last period
2026-08 → 2026-09Deterministic month-on-month movements published by the Movers Engine. Only significant changes are shown.
- +137%·ExceptionalTransaction Count
- -12%·SignificantMedian Ticket Size
- -18 pos·ExceptionalMarket Rank
- +110%·ExceptionalDeveloper Diversity (HHI)
- +108%·ExceptionalTotal Transaction Value
Trailing Momentum
Governed trailing evidence for this area, distinct from the period change above.
- Activity
- AcceleratingCurrent change +136.5% · 3 consecutive periods
- Price
- StableCurrent change −1.5%
- Market Share
- AcceleratingCurrent change +1.13pp · 2 consecutive periods
Observational only. Momentum measures the direction, magnitude, persistence and acceleration of change vs the entity's own trailing history. It is not a forecast and is not a recommendation.
Key Observations
- structure·Directional
Single-developer dominance
Valia accounts for 87.6% of transactions in 2026-09; the next two combine for 6.7%.
- pricing·Declarative
Premium pricing tier — top 15% of Dubai by PPSF.
Median PPSF ranked 89th percentile among peer areas.
- market context·Declarative
Mega-market: 298 transactions
Mega-market — 298 transactions recorded in 2026-09.
Evidence
Every observation above is a projection over the engine outputs listed here.
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